Research

NBER Working Papers | VoxEU Columns | Google Scholar | RePEC | SSRN 

Academic Economics and Finance Publications

The Pricing of U.S. Treasury Floating Rate Notes”, with Urban Jermann, Journal of Financial Economics, May 2024. NBER Working Paper No. 27065, ASSA/AFA 2021

Do Pre-Registration and Pre-Analysis Plans Reduce p-Hacking and Publication Bias?: Evidence from 15,992 Test Statistics and Suggestions for Improvement” with Abel Brodeur, Nikolai Cook, and Anthony Heyes, Forthcoming, Journal of Political Economy: Microeconomics, 2024. IZA Discussion Paper No. 15476, SIEPR Working Paper, MetaArXiv, Advances in Field Experiments Conference 2023

De-Dollarization? Not So Fast”, with Felix Gerding, Economics Letters, March 2024. See de-dollarization.org website. Media: Marginal Revolution, National Review

The Local Residential Land Use Regulatory Environment Across U.S. Housing Markets: Evidence From a New Wharton Index”, with Joseph Gyourko and Jacob Krimmel, Journal of Urban Economics, Vol. 124, July 2021, previously NBER Working Paper No. 26573, [Data Files], Media: The Wall Street Journal 1, The Wall Street Journal 2, MarketWatch, City Journal, Marginal Revolution, The Economic Report of the President 2020, The Economic Report of the President 2024

Friedman’s Plucking Model: New International Evidence From Maddison Project Data”, Economics Letters, Vol. 199, February 2021

Book Chapters/Conference Paper Proceedings

An Event Study of COVID-19 Central Bank Quantitative Easing in Advanced and Emerging Economies", with Alessandro Rebucci and Daniel Jiménez, Advances in Econometrics, 2022, Vol. 44, Alexander Chudik, Cheng Hsiao, and Allan Timmermann eds., NBER Working Paper No. 27339, CEPR Discussion Paper No. 14841, Media: VoxEU, New York Fed Liberty Street Economics, Goldman Sachs Economic Research, 21st Century Monetary Policy by Ben Bernanke

Metapapers With Many Co-Authors

Mass Reproducibility and Replicability: A New Hope”, with Abel Brodeur, Derek Mikola, Nikolai Cook et al., I4R Working Paper Series

Working Papers

Navigating Higher Education Insurance: An Experimental Study on Demand and Adverse Selection” with Ege Aksu, Sidhya Balakrishnan, Eric Bettinger, Michael Kofoed, Dubravka Ritter, and Doug Webber, NBER Working Paper No. 32260, Philly Fed Working Paper Series, Pre-Registration, ASSA 2024, NBER Economics of Education Fall Meeting 2023, SOLE 2024. Media: Times Higher Education, Marginal Revolution, The White House

Predictable End-of-Month Treasury Returns”, with Krista Schwarz, Working Paper, ASSA/AEA 2021

Does Rule of Law Matter For Firms? Evidence From Shifting Political Control in Hong Kong”. Media: City Journal

Testing The Fiscal Theory of the Price Level Across Countries and Time

The Long-Term Effects of Nuclear Disasters on Beliefs and Nuclear Energy Growth” with Michael Manieri. Media: National Review

Does Government Debt Management Matter? High Frequency Evidence From U.S. Treasury Quarterly Refunding Announcements

Work In Progress

“Macroprudential Regulation and Monetary Policy: Evidence From Canada”, with Nuno Paixao

“Did Migration Cause Zoning in the United States During The 1920s?”

“Management, Mergers, and Acquisitions”, with Nick Bloom, Rafaella Sadun, Rachel Schuh, and John Van Reenan, SED 2024

“The Consumption Effects of An Oil Supply Shock: Evidence from the Colonial Pipeline Cyberattack”, with Alexander J. Almeida and Christos A. Makridis

“Analyzing Occupational Licensing Across Nations”, with Morris Kleiner

“Global Housing Supply”, with Rafael Berriel and Ash Navabi

“Thinking Through Complexity” with Doug Bernheim and Vlasta Rasocha

“Immigration Policy As Industrial Policy: Indian Immigration and American Innovation”, with Daniel Di Martino and Christian Kontz

“Behavioral Responses To Retirement Account Early Withdrawal Penalties: Evidence From The 2020 CARES Act Penalty Suspension” (with Joshua Rauh) Pre-Analysis Plan

“The Cost of COVID-19: Pandemic Incomes and The Causal Effects of Non-Pharmaceutical Interventions” (with Joshua Rauh) Pre-Analysis Plan, Related Policy Brief with Christos Makridis

“Behavioral Responses To The 2015 CalEITC Introduction Pre-Analysis Plan” (with Joshua Rauh) Pre-Analysis Plan



















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With Ben Bernanke

With Ben Bernanke

IMF Panel on "Chicagonomics" with Lanny Ebenstein, David Mitch and Pedro Da Costa

IMF Panel on "Chicagonomics" with Lanny Ebenstein, David Mitch and Pedro Da Costa

With Richard Posner

With Richard Posner