Research

Academic Journal Publications

“The ‘Amazon Effect’ on Inflation and the Labor Market: Evidence From State Amazon Taxes As A Natural Experiment”, Working Paper, with Kyle Kost and Liangjie Wu

“Portfolio Rebalancing and the Treasury Market”, Working Paper, with Krista Schwarz

"Should The U.S. Government Issue Floating Rate Notes?", with Urban Jermann, Journal of Money, Credit and Banking (submitted)

Practitioner Peer-Reviewed Publications

"Liquid Alternative Mutual Funds Versus Hedge Funds: Returns, Risk Factors and Diversification", Journal of Alternative Investments, Winter 2019. Coverage: BarclayHedge

"Jim Cramer's 'Mad Money' Charitable Trust Performance and Factor Attribution", with Matthew Olson, Journal of Retirement, Summer 2018. Coverage: MarketWatchBloombergETF.comYahoo! FinanceThe Globe and Mail, The WeekKiplinger, The Daily Pennsylvanian, MSN.com, National Affairs, Index Fund Advisors

Miscellaneous

"Statistically Measuring 2016 Presidential Candidate Electability: Evidence From Prediction Markets", (with Kevin A. Hassett)

Coverage: The Washington PostMarginal Revolution

Work in Progress:

“The Tax Cuts and Jobs Act and Investment: Evidence From Changes In Tax-Adjusted Q”, Working Paper

“Measuring The The Amazon Effect: Evidence From State Online Sales Tax Increases As A Natural Experiment”, Working Paper

"Estimating The Effective Lower Bound For Nominal Interest Rates: Evidence From Storage and Transaction Costs", Working Paper

"The Treasury Turn-Of-The-Month Premium"

"Health Care Stocks and The Affordable Care Act: Evidence From NFIB v. Sebelius and King v. Burwell".

            (SSRN) (Becker Friedman Institute Working Paper) Coverage: Marginal Revolution

Public Economics

"The Mortgage Interest Tax Deduction and the Great Recession"

            (Working Paper)

"Health and the Savings of Insured Versus Uninsured Households in the U.S.", (with Maude Toussaint-Comeau)

            (Chicago Fed Working Paper), Presented at ASHE, Midwest Finance Association Annual Meetings

Tools:

"Monetary Policy Rules In The 21st Century" (Documentation for www.monetarypolicyrules.org)

            Coverage: Greg Mankiw's Blog

 

Sports Analytics

"Going For Two: Optimizing Between Extra Points and Two Point Conversions In The NFL"

 (SSRN) (Working Paper) Coverage: Marginal Revolution, National Affairs

"Overconfidence In Professional Sports Draft Valuation: Evidence From The NBA, NFL and NHL"

"Taxation and the Mobility of Professional Athletes in the U.S."

 Ben Bernanke

Ben Bernanke

 IMF Panel on "Chicagonomics" with Lanny Ebenstein, David Mitch and Pedro Da Costa

IMF Panel on "Chicagonomics" with Lanny Ebenstein, David Mitch and Pedro Da Costa

 Richard Posner

Richard Posner